Draft edition. Dry running my new content funnel. Twelve teams, 192 picks, one commissioner talking to himself in his car with a headset on like a fucking loser. Let's get into it.
8,048 words · ~37 min read
Pre-draft tradesLight this year yet somebody still doesn't know what a keeper is
Ever since we invented pre-draft keeper trading there's always been a good amount of trades, but this year we only got two real ones. Really felt like we were back when i saw Jordan trade away a 5th just to keep Jaxson Dart with a 7th (not that much better than where Dart probably would've gone anyway). Was great to have Jordan texting me afterward that he didn't even know what a keeper was before trading for one. Makes sense that the only time AB can win a trade is when he's taking advantage of somebody who doesn't know what's going on.
Can't forget our all time trade later, Sal, shipping out a 5th for a 9th just to buy the opportunity to take the first pick of the draft — obviously wanting Jahmyr Gibbs. I did really enjoy the league universally lambasting him for making a big deal. I don't think what he gave up was that bad given he had an extra 7th round pick. Getting the best RB on the board probably feels really good this year when there are shitty running backs 3+ round on. Just feels bad this was a year where it seemed like people were okay with drafting in the back half.
As a reminder of the failed attempts to go all in last year... The rest of us just moved bad draft equity around, myself included — traded away a 7th just to fumble again in the playoffs. Ahmad's Habibis flipped Derrick Henry money into Travis Etienne in their 7th, who then scored less than Etienne down the stretch. And Chan, who fucked himself going all in for Trey McBride for no reason when he didn't even have a chance last season.
Keeper valuesthe field is flattening out
This year was a big shift in keepers for the league. Nobody had that crazy of a value — we're starting to see things flatten out, guys just getting taken a few rounds above where they'd normally go. Teams don't have that many options, nor good ones to make big trades for.
I thought Sal was pretty dumb to trade for the IST keeper rights this year but it ended up working out. Chase Brown in the 9th (+70) is pretty good. Probably the safest, lowest-risk keeper in the league. The two other good ones: AB with Bucky in the 14th — a top-50 back for zero risk, easily the best keep in the league by a mile (+112) — and Bo Nix in the 9th (+55) for tsao, a mid-round guy you're getting for free.
This is the first year guys just got kept 10–20 picks past their ADP — real discounts, but nothing crazy; the field's thinning. My own JSN went at pick 21, a 14-spot discount... Drake Maye, a 19 point discount.. Caleb Williams (pick 35, 21.7 ADP) and Kenneth Walker (pick 36, 25.5 ADP) both went in the third about a round past cost...
Team by team, in draft order
1.01
very chinese time of life (Salmaan)
the favorite
#1projected points2072
R1·1Jahmyr GibbsRBDET · 301
R2·24Jalen HurtsQBPHI · 296
R3·25Trey McBrideTEARI · 188
R4·48Patrick MahomesQBKC · 287
R6·72DJ MooreWRBUF · 148
R7·73Christian WatsonWRGB · 176
R7·82⇄DK MetcalfWRPIT · 152
R8·96Alec PierceWRIND · 151
R9·97Chase BrownRBCIN · 229
R9·105⇄Jordan MasonRBMIN · 145
R10·120Kyle MonangaiRBCHI · 144
R11·121Josh JacobsRBGB · 81
R12·144Khalil ShakirWRBUF · 135
R13·145Fernando MendozaQBLV · 211
R14·168Denver BroncosDEFDEN · —
R15·169Ka'imi FairbairnKHOU · —
R16·192Brian RobinsonRBATL · 63
I fed Claude the entire league group chat and it called Salmaan a pick-swap merchant. Can't say it's wrong — he came in with the most equity and found additional ways to flip for more. In previous years he's flubbed edges like this but I think he came out with the best draft this year.
What's scary is Josh Jacobs in the 11th (pick 121, +82 vs ADP) is the biggest value in the draft. Sounds like he's only going to miss 4-6 games. Sal doesn't even need it, the duo of Gibbs & Chase Brown were going to be the best RB duo in the league already. No surprise Sal can't find a wife when he's outwardly supporting domestic violence like this. I hope the compromise on his morals is worth the fantasy title. A.
Love Jalen Hurts at the back half of the second. Trey McBride's a little sketchy — new OC in Arizona — but i see why he wanted him back after last season. Big surprise to see Mahomes in the 4th.
In previous years Sal's gone heavy WR and now he's punted the strategy after consecutive losing season. This year's receivers — DJ Moore, Alec Pierce, Christian Watson — all losers, but they're the WR1s of their own teams, so maybe there's upside there I'm not seeing. Analytics has his WR in last place by a large margin.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523582
QB#4
557674482674
RB#1
700749628628
WR#12
142204126188
TE#2
QBB+RBA+WRCTEAOverallA-
1.02
Mature Men (Eric & Brunts)
The Next Chapter
#2projected points2048
R1·2Bijan RobinsonRBATL · 295
R2·23A.J. BrownWRNE · 208
R3·26Drake MayeQBNE · 316
R4·47Luther BurdenWRCHI · 173
R5·50David MontgomeryRBHOU · 191
R6·71Mike EvansWRSF · 187
R7·74Parker WashingtonWRJAX · 176
R8·95Jonathon BrooksRBCAR · 139
R9·98Jacoby BrissettQBARI · 161
R10·119Romeo DoubsWRNE · 133
R11·122George KittleTESF · 138
R12·143Geno SmithQBNYJ · 224
R13·146Jordyn TysonWRNO · 90
R14·167Dallas GoedertTEPHI · 110
R15·170Philadelphia EaglesDEFPHI · —
R16·191Eddy PineiroKSF · —
No surprise Eric decided to grow up now that he's got a one-and-a-half-year-old. Compared to the rest of the league, his median age of 29 across his roster is a full year older than the rest of the league. He still managed to squeeze in some young boys onto the roster. Bijan, Parker Washington, Luther Burden, Drake Maye, even Jonathan Brooks. All 24 and under, just outside my dating range.
Instead of going 100% all-in on young boys last previous years, he's adopted a nice mentorship model. AJ Brown, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, all stabilizers to the team that will be good shepherds for the next generation. I don't think Jacoby Brissett and Geno Smith were their #1 options to lead the Church of Eric's adolescent program though. That felt like a last resort where they had to take the decrepit old men off the street because they had nobody else.
As to the actual roster construction, they're thin at RB with only three. I don't even know if Brooks is playable off his 2nd torn ACL in 2 years. Montgomery's a sneaky good pick, though. He seems like a candidate repeat for the Joe Mixon career year from 2 seasons ago. Receiver room's loaded: Evans as the WR3, Parker Washington in the flex, and Luther Burden who every fantasy analyst is willing to get on their knees for. Juicy team.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523540
QB#11
557674482625
RB#2
700749628744
WR#2
142204126138
TE#9
QBB-RBB+WRB+TEBOverallB
1.03
mid guy tsao (Jon & Belling)
the league has a new gayest couple
#12projected points1964
R1·3Puka NacuaWRLAR · 260
R2·22Jeremiyah LoveRBARI · 189
R3·27Kyren WilliamsRBLAR · 194
R4·46Tee HigginsWRCIN · 187
R5·51Colston LovelandTECHI · 173
R6·70Daniel JonesQBIND · 222
R7·75Rhamondre StevensonRBNE · 156
R7·76⇄Courtland SuttonWRDEN · 145
R8·94Bryce YoungQBCAR · 233
R9·99Bo NixQBDEN · 291
R10·118Michael PittmanWRPIT · 136
R11·123MarShawn LloydRBGB · 139
R12·142Rachaad WhiteRBWAS · 112
R13·147Cameron DickerKLAC · —
R14·166Tre TuckerWRLV · 103
R15·171Pittsburgh SteelersDEFPIT · —
Sorry Chan, your reign is over. Dykes are out, gays are in. Might need to see Chan get a matching tattoo with Coop to one up the matching hoop earrings from the gays. Until then the crown is firmly Belling and Jon's hands. Not sure if it's just honeymoon period Those late-night strategy calls are bound to turn into so many hot gay guy walks. Silverlake Joe & the Juice is going to be better known as Jon & the Jew by season end.
Seems like Jon is allergic to taking Josh Allen. Still has not learned the lesson when he blew his best chance at winning a championship the year he took Mahomes over him. The Jeremiyah Love pick i was roasting fun of but don't think it's that bad. I'm just traumatized watching one generational talent behind a shitty offense get dragged down (see Ashton Jeanty last year). Kyren should be fine — every year they think it's the year he regresses the guy just gets 20 carries, 3 ypc, and falls into the end zone. Reliable foundational piece.
No idea what the fuck they were doing at QB. Daniel Jones at pick 70 (−38, the single biggest reach of the draft), 3 rounds too early on a guy coming off an ACL. They followed that up by hedging with Bryce Young too. This is the saddest QB room in the league right now, and it cost real capital between a 6th and an 8th.
They did well on the back end of the draft though — MarShawn Lloyd in the 11th is a major steal, probably only known about because Salmaan took Jacobs two picks earlier, but they still get credit. Chan says that was definitely a Belling pick, co-owner is already providing value. Draft looks so mid — Pittman and Tre Tucker as your WR3s — but the RB back-end saves it. B-.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523523
QB#12
557674482539
RB#10
700749628728
WR#4
142204126173
TE#3
QBCRBB+WRB+TEB+OverallB-
1.04
Commissioner Negooyen (me)
Commish finally running it down?
#9projected points1973
R1·4Josh AllenQBBUF · 342
R2·21Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA · 236
R3·28Brock BowersTELV · 204
R4·45Jaylen WaddleWRDEN · 182
R5·52D'Andre SwiftRBCHI · 190
R6·69Jadarian PriceRBSEA · 162
R8·93Malik WillisQBMIA · 262
R9·100Chris GodwinWRTB · 140
R10·117Stefon DiggsWRWAS · 125
R11·124Kenny GainwellRBTB · 130
R12·141Zach CharbonnetRBSEA · 63
R13·148Jalen McMillanWRTB · 105
R14·165Najee HarrisRBNYG · 24
R15·172Kaleb JohnsonRBGB · 30
R16·189Los Angeles ChargersDEFLAC · —
R16·190⇄Tua TagovailoaQBATL · 96
Down a 7th this year. Really embarrassing going all-in when it was supposed to be my year and not even making the finals — very loser behavior. Getting Josh Allen at 4 is the lowest he's been drafted in the history of this league. I regret nerfing QB rushing TDs now 😂. JSN at pick 21 is honestly bad keeper value. Pretty questionable to go Brock Bowers at 3-4 when down equity and with a mid keeper. Did zero research, and just blindly listened to the draft guide I spent $25 on. Don't even really like the Jalen Waddle pick I made the next round. I was just way too pussy to take Luther Burden, even though he's way swaggier. A little too much vino, a few too many Asian beers, and a little over reliance on JJ Zachariason
Thought I was about to get fucked going zero RB but De'Andre Swift and Jadarian Price in the 5th / 6th isn't so bad. Especially now with the Charbs news, it's looking pretty decent.
7th round pick I gave Tsoa turned out to be Waddle's backup, so I don't feel that bad shipping it out after all. Hinging my QB2 on Malik Willis in the 8th is a big risk, but a necessary swing this year. Chris Godwin in the 9th is sneaky good; Draft would've been perfect if I'd hit MarShawn Lloyd instead of Kenny Gainwell — pretty upset about that one. Really should've taken more swings at RB but all things considered there's still a decent chance at continuing my playoff streak this year
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523605
QB#1
557674482482
RB#12
700749628684
WR#10
142204126204
TE#1
QBA-RBC-WRBTEAOverallB
1.05
Lil_fellatio69 (Kerry & Amato)
Just Tuck no Roll
#5projected points1998
R1·5Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN · 258
R2·20Ashton JeantyRBLV · 213
R3·29Breece HallRBNYJ · 194
R4·44Brock PurdyQBSF · 300
R5·53Davante AdamsWRLAR · 161
R6·68Tyler ShoughQBNO · 268
R7·77Marvin HarrisonWRARI · 155
R7·81⇄Chuba HubbardRBCAR · 138
R8·92Jordan AddisonWRMIN · 142
R9·101Quinshon JudkinsRBCLE · 181
R10·116Cam WardQBTEN · 228
R11·125Jalen CokerWRCAR · 136
R12·140Chris RodriguezRBJAX · 126
R13·149Jake FergusonTEDAL · 126
R14·164Dylan SampsonRBCLE · 78
R15·173Kaelon BlackRBSF · 39
Out of everyone, i was most worried that Kerry wouldn't show up to draft and my worries were justified. I just didn't expect Amato to start his season early and fill in. Their split is that Kerry drafts and Amato does everything else in-season, but maybe after last season's last place finish their operating model has changed. Anybody who's been in a group chat with the two of them can attest it takes about five minutes before you kick Kerry out and just handle business with Amato directly. Looks like this season Kerry's getting treated like Succession's Roman Roy being told to leave the board room as Daddy Amato has to clean up the mess from the year past
It's been a couple years since he drafted but I think Amato did pretty well. Receiver's strong starting with Ja'Marr Chase plus Davante Adams. Can't believe he went back to Marvin Harrison Jr; Claude says we hit the countable upper limit of slurs said about MHJ in my gc with Kerry & Amato. Late picks on Jordan Addison and Jalen Coker make for nice upside depth.
RB is pretty solid too — Ashton Jeanty (don't like him, supposed to be a dog) and Breece Hall, probably the last good running back in the upper tier before it drops off a cliff. Quinshon Judkins, maybe the worst keeper in the draft this year but atleast its at low draft equity (9th).
The way I know Amato is tapped in this year is that there's no way he'd take Tyler Shough that early in the 6th if he weren't on the fantasy pod all offseason. I'm not bought in on him but atleast he secured a decent backup in Cam Ward B / B+. Should be fine this year.
Still to be determined what value Kerry will bring to the team this year, but if there's one thing abundantly clear from this draft, Amato has brought the team back to its roots that won them a championship. They're tapping back into the culture and leading with the YN's. They have the youngest average age (25.7yrs) across the entire league.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523568
QB#9
557674482589
RB#4
700749628716
WR#5
142204126126
TE#12
QBB-RBB+WRB+TEC+OverallB+
1.06
Korean robert deniro (BHuh & Jordan)
the Jordan Era
#10projected points1972
R1·6Christian McCaffreyRBSF · 258
R2·19Jayden DanielsQBWAS · 300
R3·30Drake LondonWRATL · 205
R4·43Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR · 184
R6·67Jameson WilliamsWRDET · 176
R7·78Jaxson DartQBNYG · 288
R8·91Jaylen WarrenRBPIT · 155
R9·102Harold FanninTECLE · 143
R9·104⇄Michael WilsonWRARI · 136
R10·115RJ HarveyRBDEN · 127
R11·126Travis KelceTEKC · 136
R12·139Rashid ShaheedWRSEA · 117
R13·150Aaron JonesRBMIN · 121
R14·163Seattle SeahawksDEFSEA · —
R15·174Cam LittleKJAX · —
R16·187Jalen NailorWRLV · 108
Hate to give credit where it's due, but i miss Bhuh and i really don't like that he has no more team input these days. It was only inevitable that once he brought on a co-owner he was going to coast off into the sunset. Last season you could catch small traces of input BHuh was still contributing, but after finishing in 2nd place you know it was Jordan really running the show.
Tough to say if the Jordan era will be all the better. He didn't know what a keeper was or what he was doing with the March Madness award but those are small misgrievances relative to taking Justin Fields in the 3rd when he wasn't even a starting quarterback. Closest thing to an egregious mistake like that is going for Fannin in the 9th and grabbing Kelce two rounds later. Not even bad.
There's a major swag gap between team and owner. Jayden Daniels 2nd round, Drake London, Tetairoa McMillan, Jameson Williams in the 3-4-6, Rashid Shaheed in the 12th, Michael Wilson in the 9th. One of the most fun wideout rooms in the league.
He even had a pretty disciplined RB strategy. CMC in the first then some late round flyers as his RB2. Jaylen Warren in the 8th is solid (might get cucked by Rico Dowdle), RJ Harvey in the 10th good value. He could've used one more insurance back — nitpicking. There's one less incompetent owner in the league now and it's throwing the balance off. Next time someone drops out, autists are going straight to the front of the lineB+.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523587
QB#3
557674482539
RB#9
700749628702
WR#6
142204126143
TE#6
QBB+RBB-WRA-TEBOverallB+
1.07
YCheeks Inshallah (Hunter)
the fandom draft
#6projected points1990
R1·7Joe BurrowQBCIN · 305
R2·18Derrick HenryRBBAL · 240
R3·31Nico CollinsWRHOU · 220
R4·42DeVonta SmithWRPHI · 189
R5·55Baker MayfieldQBTB · 275
R6·66Bhayshul TutenRBJAX · 160
R7·79C.J. StroudQBHOU · 247
R8·90Ladd McConkeyWRLAC · 188
R9·103Rico DowdleRBPIT · 143
R10·114Blake CorumRBLAR · 129
R11·127Jakobi MeyersWRJAX · 137
R12·138Tyjae SpearsRBTEN · 98
R13·151Mark AndrewsTEBAL · 132
R14·162Denzel BostonWRCLE · 108
R15·175Omar CooperWRNYJ · 105
R16·186Tre' HarrisWRLAC · 93
For last pick in draft order selection, 7th is a pretty nice spot for Hunter to land. Had his choice between Joey B and Lamar Jackson, but everyone knows #whiteisright. Don't worry he reminded everybody that he's ferda by grabbing Stroud Boy in the 7th. Stars really aligned for Hunter as he was able to get the Texan Stack with Nico Collins in the 3rd. After 2 years the Texans are finally back into the draft pool and they've come home to where they belong. Wouldn't it be so funny if the Texans reverted back to being a poverty franchise 😂
The rest of his WR room is one of the juiciest poised for a breakout this year. No more AJB to get in the way of DeVonta Smith, and Mike McDaniel to unlock Ladd as the primary WR for the chargers. Hard to see any of these WR's busting this year.
Quite the opposite at RB though. Derrick Henry in the second is nowhere near as sexy and Bhayshal Tuten is unproven Rico Dowdle and Blake Corum are both betas trying to prove they're the alpha in their offenses.
Was really surprised to hear Hunter broke up with his girlfriend earlier this year. If there's one thing i've learned about him through this league, he has an unwavering commitment to low-quality talent — Tyjae Spears gets drafted to his roster for a third straight year and this girl couldn't even make it 1.
Not sure how good this year will go for Hunter, but atleast he's surrounded himself with his boys. Straight B.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523580
QB#6
557674482543
RB#8
700749628734
WR#3
142204126132
TE#10
QBB+RBB-WRB+TEBOverallB
1.08
Team AB (Adam)
Does AB even know who he is?
#3projected points2020
R1·8Lamar JacksonQBBAL · 320
R2·17Omarion HamptonRBLAC · 221
R3·32Rashee RiceWRKC · 186
R4·41Zay FlowersWRBAL · 189
R5·54⇄Cam SkatteboRBNYG · 181
R5·56Garrett WilsonWRNYJ · 183
R6·65Sam DarnoldQBSEA · 262
R7·80Sam LaPortaTEDET · 158
R8·89Makai LemonWRPHI · 138
R10·113De'Zhaun StriblingWRSF · 105
R11·128Wan'Dale RobinsonWRTEN · 135
R12·137Los Angeles RamsDEFLAR · —
R13·152Aaron RodgersQBPIT · 179
R14·161Bucky IrvingRBTB · 181
R15·176Tank BigsbyRBPHI · 62
R16·185Chris BoswellKPIT · —
The Lebron of Fantasy — ironically or not, the most cringe name I've seen in league history. Did you lose another fantasy league that made you do this?
Coming into the season AB is going through a lot of transformation and uncertainty. He shed his co-owner, placed last on the who knows me best exam (despite living together for 4 years), and is preparing to get married midseason. If it wasn't evident by his lack of cohesive identity amongst his players it most certainly is visible by his average draft clock time of 55s a pick. He's damn near using the full clock every round. That's not out of precision and thoughtfulness, but rather insecurity.
As someone who grew up with a lovely family, it was really surprising to see no remorse from AB redrafting Crashee Rice on his team. I guess he must have broadened his policy on low IQ players because he used the 5th round pick he gained from the Jaxon Dart trade to get Skattebo, an actual crayon eater, and Makai Lemon to his team. He even took a flyer on Aaron 3rd Eye Open Rodgers too.
Though I think that makes a little more sense. After spending an abundant amount of picks on some YN's he had to get level set the team with a more familiar demographic in Sam Darnold & Sam Laporta.
All jokes aside, AB had some of the best draft equity leading in between picks + keeper and capitalized. Rashee, Zay, Garrett Wilson is a disgusting starting WR line up. Now that he's switched his fandom from the Eagles to Chargers he has to take Omarion Hampton in the second to see what new OC Mike McDaniel can do with him. With Bucky Irving in the 14th, his RB position is already locked down.
I think I clocked the reason for his 55s draft time correctly but diagnosed the root cause wrong. With all the extra draft value he had, AB was once again swimming in an abundance of privilege he didn't know what to do with it. Luckily he has a lot of experience with this and capitalized pretty well. Hopefully he doesn't blow his lead mid-season like years past A-.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523582
QB#5
557674482583
RB#5
700749628697
WR#7
142204126158
TE#5
QBB+RBB+WRBTEB+OverallA-
1.09
DoubleDyke Hotel (Chan & Cooper)
A whole lotta nothing
#4projected points2000
R1·9Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET · 228
R2·16De'Von AchaneRBMIA · 232
R3·33Malik NabersWRNYG · 194
R4·40Trevor LawrenceQBJAX · 296
R5·49⇄Emeka EgbukaWRTB · 186
R5·57Tyler WarrenTEIND · 160
R6·64Kyler MurrayQBMIN · 280
R8·88Matthew GoldenWRGB · 141
R10·112Javonte WilliamsRBDAL · 194
R11·129Mike WashingtonRBLV · 90
R12·136KC ConcepcionWRCLE · 128
R13·153Keenan AllenWRIND · 85
R14·160Cyrus AllenWRKC · 78
R15·177Juwan JohnsonTENO · 113
R16·184Jacksonville JaguarsDEFJAX · —
R16·188⇄Evan McPhersonKCIN · —
As a fledgling ally of the LGBT community, the Dykes have always been a difficult one for me to understand. Kind of surprising since we share the same taste and they know me the best. They used their #1 pick rights to trade back and claw back some of the draft stock they punted away last year. The 5th from salmaan is basically a 4th at 5.01. I have to give credit, they're always pretty creative with the things they managed to do, I'm just not sure if it led to anything good.
Amon-Ra St. Brown in the 9th is who they were targeting, the last of the round-1 receivers but clearly a step below Puka/Ja'Marr. Achane also a top tier RB1 but very sus with a change in head coach and overall bad offense; Malik Nabers in round 3 off 2 ACL surgeries this summer, sketch. By name all looks good, but nothing I'm overly excited about
The middle rounds is where I'm sure the live draft went astray from their mocks. I think they felt pigeonholed after taking Nabers & ARSB because they used 2 of their 3 picks during the most exciting WR run on Trevor Lawrence at 4.4 and Tyler Warren at 5.9. Egbuka at 5.1 feels pretty nice but he's also injured. Then they reach up 20 picks early Kyler Murray at 6.4, mentally check out of the draft, and don't make another good pick until the Juwan Johnson in the 15th.
All that work to get to equal equity just to fumble it on show day. Maybe Matthew Golden 8.4, Mike Washington 11.9, or KC Concepion 12.4 make me change my mind about how they did in the back half of the draft but I think they came out with nothing in the last 8 rounds.
10th Round Javonte keeper really helps make this draft feel better but I think they're coming out of this just filled with regrets. Injured WR2 and WR3. Only 3 Rbs on the team and no 3rd QB. Feels like they're the thinnest team in the league. Mostly because they decided to pick up Tyler Warren in the 5th when Juwan Johnson in the 15th might even be better than him C+.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523576
QB#7
557674482515
RB#11
700749628749
WR#1
142204126160
TE#4
QBBRBCWRB+TEB+OverallC+
1.10
Disappointment AllStars (Ahmad & Josh)
Are they quitting?
#7projected points1978
R1·10Jonathan TaylorRBIND · 256
R2·15Saquon BarkleyRBPHI · 229
R3·34Chris OlaveWRNO · 195
R4·39George PickensWRDAL · 206
R5·58Matthew StaffordQBLAR · 282
R6·63Jared GoffQBDET · 284
R8·87Carnell TateWRTEN · 145
R9·106Jacory Croskey-MerrittRBWAS · 119
R10·111Xavier WorthyWRKC · 135
R11·130Tyler AllgeierRBARI · 74
R12·135Keaton MitchellRBLAC · 89
R13·154Jonah ColemanRBDEN · 60
R14·159Isaiah LikelyTENYG · 126
R15·178Malik WashingtonWRMIA · 107
R16·183Kirk CousinsQBLV · 41
Ahmad said this was the year he was going to be checked out, but idk the synergy between him and Josh looked pretty good at live draft. The decision to go with the #10 pick was an interesting one, I don't know if Jonathan Taylor is who were targetting. He's probably the last player in the first round that I would still get excited about though. They're the only team that started the draft RB-RB and I feel like they're pretty stoked Saquon in the second. Quite the drift from last year's strategy where they NEEDED a top QB.
The mid round WR's were extra juicy this year and getting Chris Olave at 3.10, George Pickens keeper in the 4th feels great. The rest of the WR strategy I don't know about. Carnell Tate in the 8th (sketchy) and Xavier Worthy in the 10th makes me feel like they're little thin. Seeing their 7th pick they traded to Sal go to DK Metcalf doesn't even feel that bad.
Back to back picks forMatthew Stafford in the 5th (liked it) andJared Goff in the 6th feels like an experiment for Ahmad to settle an internal debate. Historically he's been pro Goff and fuck Stafford, now is his opportunity to pit both former Rams QBs in a competition to earn his favor. Would've liked one more receiver and the 2nd QB punted a little later but I think they did a good job of building a solid roster while down a pick. Punting tight end with Isaiah Likely in the 14th was one of my favorite picks— an easy way to make up for less capital. B.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523567
QB#10
557674482605
RB#3
700749628680
WR#11
142204126126
TE#11
QBB-RBA-WRBTEC+OverallB
1.11
PUKACHU (Choi)
5:00 AM from an Uber
#8projected points1974
R1·11James CookRBBUF · 247
R2·14Justin JeffersonWRMIN · 205
R3·35Caleb WilliamsQBCHI · 296
R4·38Dak PrescottQBDAL · 304
R5·59TreVeyon HendersonRBNE · 154
R6·62Terry McLaurinWRWAS · 177
R7·83Brian ThomasWRJAX · 164
R8·86Tucker KraftTEGB · 141
R9·107J.K. DobbinsRBDEN · 147
R10·110Josh DownsWRIND · 137
R11·131Deebo SamuelWRSF · 129
R12·134Woody MarksRBHOU · 75
R13·155Ja'Kobi LaneWRBAL · 87
R14·158Houston TexansDEFHOU · —
R15·179Jason MyersKSEA · —
R16·182Alvin KamaraRBNO · 54
Give the reigning champ some leniency — dude drafted from mobile, crossing through immigration, and in an uber. The dedication is impressive, so any reaction to bad picks will be tempered. I'd be pretty miffed with James Cook as my 1st rounder, but getting Justin Jefferson and starting RB-WR is a nice strategy to leave the rest of draft open.
Caleb Williams 3.11 as a keeper isn't the best value but in our specific draft where he's certain to go early feels good. Kind of like the Dak pick but I think this is where he fucks the rest of his skill positions. I would feel a whole lot better if he had a different RB2 than Trey'Veon Henderson. Camp reports don't look great and he hasn't practiced in two weeks. Scary Terry is a solid pick but was quite surprised to see him go after BTJ, but then I remembered Choi LOVES WR's that do nothing. Must be the reason he went back for Deebo at 11.11
Tucker Kraft at 8 is his second dubious decision. Off an ACL, pretty high capital for a TE, and with a lot of options still on the board. Don't love it. Otherwise I think the late rounds Choi did a good job of getting useable pieces. I think JK Dobbins is pretty mid, but will be usable for half the season. Josh Downs at 10 has healthy upside. Even Woody Marks in the 12th feels like a steal.
Solid draft from an airport, no real mistakes, no big wins. Makes sense when Choi basically drafted by picking the name closest to the queue. He had the closest pick value to ADP (-8.7) B+.
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523600
QB#2
557674482549
RB#7
700749628684
WR#9
142204126141
TE#7
QBA-RBB-WRBTEBOverallB
1.12
Luck of the irish (Matt)
pleasantly not-retarded
#11projected points1969
R1·12CeeDee LambWRDAL · 224
R2·13Justin HerbertQBLAC · 292
R3·36Kenneth WalkerRBKC · 226
R4·37Travis EtienneRBNO · 191
R5·60Jordan LoveQBGB · 278
R6·61Rome OdunzeWRCHI · 174
R7·84Tony PollardRBTEN · 147
R8·85Dalton KincaidTEBUF · 131
R9·108Jayden ReedWRGB · 164
R10·109Quentin JohnstonWRLAC · 135
R11·132Brandon AubreyKDAL · —
R12·133Kyle PittsTEATL · 139
R13·156Travis HunterWRJAX · 79
R14·157Emmett JohnsonRBKC · 60
R15·180Baltimore RavensDEFBAL · —
R16·181Tank DellWRHOU · 43
After 4 years I'm desensitized to Irish retardation. I was getting ready for something retarded and I was pleasantly surprised to see nothing crazy out of line. Instead of a random flyer in the first, he used a first-round pick on a first-round-worthy player Ceedee Lamb, solid base. Justin Herbert in the 2nd to make him the 4th QB off the board, not egregious. First reach was Travis Etienne at pick 37 (−21), round-and-a-half early, but if you're a believer you're a believer. Even taking Tony Pollard a little early at 7.12 isn't that bad. At least he has history there with the JT trade years ago.
Matt feels unusually prepared this season. He ended up with 2 QB-WR stacks that feels oddly intentional? Reaching for Quentin Johnston in the 10th and getting Jayden Reed in the 9th, its like Irish really knew what he wanted. I'm proud of Irish this year. He took the 2nd-longest on the clock (48s median) and was really deliberate about what he was doing.
Usually when I see Irish take 2 TE's in a draft it's pretty retarded but this year was pretty smart. Kyle Pitts in the 12th (+55) one of the biggest values in the draft, went at 110, projected ~75. Would've been even better if he didn't burn capital on Dalton Kincaid in the 8th — but he's not a bad pick either.
Only real bad pick is Travis Hunter, who's already been dropped from the roster. Need to keep the glaze in check though. He has the single worst average AND median pick-distance off ADP in the league (21.1 / 17.6). Old dog can only so many new tricks. B Grade
startable value — each bar scaled to its own position’s league rangenumber atop bar = this team's projected pointsleague median (dashed)league high & low for that position (top & bottom of each bar)#projected rank at that position, across the league
578605523570
QB#8
557674482564
RB#6
700749628696
WR#8
142204126139
TE#8
QBBRBBWRBTEBOverallB
This year's IST groups
Shout out to Ahmad who gifted me the IST groups this year. It definitely wasn't motivated by his desire to dodge Salmaan's team. It saved us from running a tournament that featured Danny's Homeless Encampment, AI VC fiesta, and the NPCs.
Ahmad's idea ended up being much more inclusive and apt to the owners.
Group 1 — Singles Inferno. This one's for all the single boys: me, Hunter, Salmaan, and Belling (& Jon). This foursomes so diverse Netflix could find a way to launch a 101st dating show. Quite unfortunate that we didn't get an in-person draft to see what kind of havoc this foursome could do, but it was probably a net benefit to the women of Long Beach and a reduction of atleast 2 sexual harassment charges that it got canceled.
Group 2 — the Dinks. The wifed-up boys, no kids, just basking in minimal expense and millennial wealth. Irish (with Lindsay, no ring but together forever), Chan (just engaged), AB & Blair (married this October), and Amato & Kerry — Amato married a while, Kerry doing god knows what, but should be putting a ring on it soon. This'll probably be the most boring division. These are the softest guys in the league. No appetite to play life on hard mode with the kids or enjoy the thrill of boots on the ground with all the fishes in the sea. Just a bunch of mid-tier guys coasting through life.
Group 3 — the Daddies. Eric (newborn), Ahmad (almost a year in), Choi (later this winter). And you may be wondering what Bhuh and Jordan are doing here, they're not just a throw in. If you haven't heard, Jordan got posted to a Hot Guys of Penmar video. Rumor has it that it got cross-posted to gay TikTok as Daddies of Penmar. So until someone else decides to crank out a kid, the next closest thing to a daddy i've got is Jordan. Lowkey I have Choi with the biggest advantage in the group. With his baby waking up in the middle of the night, he'll get a taste of fantasy during peak pacific coast hours. Vegas has Eric as the betting favorite since he's had the longest time to reach his true dad dick potential, however the gays have been stroking Jordan's metaphorical dad dick to a level that should be competitive
Week 1 preview & Notable season long Rivalries
Week 1 i just hit last year's championship-week matchups. My gay-ass company blocked Claude on my phone so this is off the top of my head.
Choi/Jordan-Bhuh — last year's finale, both with full draft capital. One of my favorites to face each other twice this year, not just for the rematch but because now we get the competing-model bit: Anthropic-Bhuh vs ChatGPT-Choi. Wouldn't be surprised if Bhuh hops to OpenAI himself before the season ends tho.
Me vs AB (third-place game rematch) — used to be a real landslide of me running him down and getting his daddy bits; swung in AB's favor lately, most importantly AB got the third-place win last year when there was actual money on the line. My motivation to claim him as a rival this year goes beyond the good natured historical banter. This year it's turned into internalized bitterness after watching him get last on the who knows me best exam.
Tsao vs Amato — Toilet Bowl rematch. Not much beef, but ever since Jon brought Belling in, those two have been tuck-and-rolling as if they were Amato and Kerry
Notable Rivalries (four per team, twice a year):
Eric vs Irish — really just a one-way beef. All-time is 5-1 Irish, He's the Eric's boogeyman. Ric is one of my favorite people to talk shit about how much Irish sucks at fantasy despite watching so much football yet Irish always manages to dunk on Ric. Perfect justice for talking shit behind someone's back.
Chan vs Kerry/Amato — Chan's only been in four years and somehow has a 6-0 record against Kerry, the last undefeated head-to-head streak in the league. The daddy narrative for AB has basically run dry; it'd be quite fitting for the show to take a spin off where the two butch dykes in the league decide to foster 2 autistic children. If this goes 8-0, the story is going to write itself
Eric vs AB — Eric sits 6-1 on AB, AB got his first-ever win off him last year so maybe he's overcome the mental midget demon. But this is my favorite rivalry in the league because of the layers to the matchup. If Irish is Eric's boogeyman, Brunts is AB's. Chicken-or-egg whether Bruns was always the boogey monster or the Boogey Monster just hopped on Eric's team to get some free wins on the bit. Either way it's a continuation to determine who's really the most athletic white.
AB vs Hunter — the most-played head-to-head in the league, 11 meetings, AB up 8-3, the most wins anybody has on anybody. Hard to even call it a rivalry since it's been so uncompetitive. I think AB usually views this as a tune up for the best white fight but he shouldn't underestimate Hunter. He's been dropping lbs in the last year and a sleeper candidate to compete.
Derrick vs Hunter — note the theme: Hunter talks the most and gets owned by the two quiet guys. Derrick owns Hunter just like AB does. Should be a defining year for Cheeks to prove he's more than a fringe playoff team. This was an unedited Claude blurb 😂.
Salmaan vs Irish — Sal's 5-0 on Irish. Is going undefeated on Irish really an accomplishment? Most would say no — except when you consider how bad Sal's been the last couple years. He's had two seasons with only 5 wins yet has managed to maintain an undefeated record against Irish
Me vs Tsao — we're tied for all-time wins in the league, so every year is quietly a competition for the all time wins title in the league. It's effectively a meaningless title, but when you've never won anything in this league you hang yourself on moral victories. Neither of us are likely to win anything again this year but at least one of us comes can come out of with all-time wins and have something to respond back to Hunter when he inevitably does the classic Shaq argument "how many rings?"
Preseason survey$74 of FAAB, graded at midseason
Before you close this and go pretend to work — homework. Fill out the 2026 preseason survey. It's worth $74 in FAAB and it gets graded at midseason — so no chickenshit hedge answers, put down real takes and live with them when the receipts come out at the halfway mark. Get it in before Week 1 kicks off.